This study extends relational contract theory by showing how behavioral reference points can be established through policy. We theorize that contracts are governed by dual anchors: backward-looking relational history and forward-looking renewal expectations. Analyzing 430 public legal service contracts using Heckman selection models, we find relational history increases prices in amendments, revealing its âdark side.â A non-binding renewal clause, however, significantly attenuates this effect, reducing price increase probability by up to 37 percentage points. These findings resolve the puzzle that renewal clauses, though present in fewer than half of contracts, disproportionately appear in amended agreements. The clause does not guarantee renewal but alters behavioral logic, transforming the supplierâs reference point from backward-looking entitlement to forward-looking relationship preservation. Our findings provide micro-foundations for how institutions structure relational dynamics and demonstrate how procurement design can shape expectations to improve outcomes.
Public Administration Review
Interpersonal Connections and Career Mobility in Bureaucratic Labor Markets: Evidence From Brazil
Danilo Cardoso, Flavio Cireno, Julien Labonne, Pedro Masson, Pedro Palotti, Flavio de Vitoria, Martin Williams
Interpersonal networks are pervasive in state bureaucracies around the world. To what extent do they explain bureaucratic career trajectories? And are they driven more by political patronage and connections to influential bosses, or by informationâsharing and trustâbuilding among peers? We address these questions by constructing measures of the stock of interpersonal connections for the universe of over 440,000 Brazilian federal civil servants for the period 2000â2018. Individuals' networks strongly predict their future career mobility. Connections to higherâranking officers or to members of the same political party have a strong effect, but the overall influence of individuals' networks on their career trajectories is dominated by nonâpolitical connections to their peers, not connections to bosses or party colleagues. We show that these patterns are similar for politically appointed and career positions, and explore heterogeneity across various demographic groups. We discuss implications for theory and policy, as well as potential wider methodological applications.
Toward a Theory of Value as Praxis: Linking Public Values and Public Value
Literature on value developed along two influential interpretations: public values as normative expectations about policymaking and governance and public value expressing added or lost benefits experienced through public action. Although normatively linked, these interpretations evolved as separate streams, limiting conceptual clarity and cumulative analysis. In response, this article develops âvalue as praxisâ as an analytical framework that treats the relationship between public value and public values as a translationâandâmediation process. It specifies how public values travel from articulation and prioritization to encoding within rules and resources, embedding in organizational and sociotechnical arrangements, enactment in design and implementation, and eventually experiences of âvalueâ or âdisvalueâ in the form of benefits and burdens. The framework illustrates this translationâandâmediation process across five recurring process groups (families of mechanisms): institutional , regulatory , sociotechnical , design , and learning . It offers a basis for studying value creation, destruction, and disvalue, and for diagnosing where the translation of public values into public value breaks down across contexts and populations.
Policy and Society
Navigating evidence, legitimacy, and delivery: a three-dimensional framework for behavioral policy design
Behavioral public policy faces the triple challenge of assembling robust evidence, securing democratic legitimacy, and navigating implementation constraints. We introduce a three-dimensional policy cube that positions interventions along evidence robustness (E), policy contestation (C), and implementation feasibility (F). Linking each axis to the CapabilityâOpportunityâMotivation (COM-B) model grounds the cube in behavioral theory, while equity-sensitive scoring captures distributional and administrative-burden effects. We use COM-B as a mechanism-first heuristic for anticipating which governance constraint is likely to be most binding for a given intervention, while recognizing that most real policies load onto multiple COM-B components and therefore multiple cube axes. To support reproducible placement, we provide a transparent scoring rubric (with a worked example) for assigning E, C, and F coordinates. To demonstrate its analytic value, we run a Monte Carlo simulation of fifty stylized interventions over five years. True effects are drawn from a bimodal distribution; replication precision tightens with evidence robustness, backlash probability, and severity rise with contestation, and fidelity decays as a function of feasibility. The cube synthesizes behavioral science, implementation research, and political economy in a single diagnostic, yielding governance templates that range from fast-tracking technocratic sweet spots to sandboxing high-risk (âzombieâ) policies. It provides researchers with a measurement agenda, practitioners with a portfolio tool, and policymakers with an adaptive oversight guide.
Journal of European Public Policy
Policy information and opinion change: panel studies from European Union referendums
Traditional policy research has largely focused on enhancing happiness or wellâbeing, privileging positive outcomes as the primary metric of success. We argue that a systematic focus on the drivers of unhappinessârather than solely on happinessâoffers a complementary analytical framework that can uncover hidden societal deficits and broaden the repertoire of policy interventions. By foregrounding unhappiness, scholars and practitioners can identify latent demand, structural inequities, and unintended negative side effects that are often obscured in happinessâcentric analyses. We first articulate why a shift away from predominantly happinessâdriven policies is conceptually necessary, demonstrating that unhappiness signals distinct causal pathways and policy levers. Second, we explain how adopting an unhappiness lens can lead to differentâand potentially betterâpolicy outcomes. By integrating unhappiness into the policy toolkit, this paper expands the analytical horizon of scholars and offers policymakers actionable insights for more resilient, equitable, and responsive governance. We introduce several novel theoretical issues that provide a strong foundation for a research agenda on unhappiness and its policy implications. We also caution that misusing unhappinessâbased arguments poses ethical risks and could exacerbate the very problems such arguments aim to address.
Public Administration
Rethinking Reproductive Governance: What Can Public Administration on the Island of Ireland Learn From Abortion Accompaniment?
The recent decriminalization of abortion marked a crucial step toward improved reproductive care on the island of Ireland. However, this has not translated into fully accessible abortion provisionâbarriers, including inaccessible services, persist, leaving gaps that public administration has not formally addressed. In response, informal actors, particularly abortion accompaniers, may continue playing a critical role in enabling care. Drawing on asynchronous online discussions with 19 individuals who accompanied abortions over the past decade, this article examines how accompaniment operates not merely as individual support but as a structural necessity that illustrates alternative futures for abortion administration. The analysis demonstrates how accompaniment assumes a quasiâadministrative function, helping individuals navigate bureaucratic systems and compensating for shortcomings in formal provision. It also highlights how accompaniment embodies alternative models of care, rooted in demedicalization and reproductive justice. I outline key learnings for public administration: rethinking abortion governance as a system that centers on accessibility and dignity, learning from accompaniment to design communityâbased services, and eliminating bureaucratic barriers to create more equitable abortion care. Current accompaniment practices are not simply a workaround for legal and medical failures but an indicator of systemic shortcomingsâoffering a blueprint for more accessible reproductive health care that truly serves the public.
CitizenâCentered Public Service Design in Agile Digital Transformation: Insights From Public Mobility Services
The aim of this study is to highlight the critical role of humanâcentered design approach as a foundational element in the agile digital transformation of public service design. Grounded in serviceâdesign principles and publicâservice logic, it analyses how agencies adopt agile practices and involve stakeholders in coâdesign of disrupted municipal public mobility services during Covid 19. Combining a citizen survey, coâdesign workshops with officials and user representatives in an Italian city, we find that iterative, participatory cycles help close gaps between service demand and user satisfaction when organizations remain adaptable, stakeholders stay engaged, and technology is aligned with user needs. The findings provide actionable insights for policymakers and practitioners aiming to enhance the usability and effectiveness of public services while contributing to broader discussions on sustainable, citizenâcentric governance.
Fighting Corruption Through Accountability? A Survey Experiment
Democratic Weberian bureaucracy is facing great challenges upholding public values as we see turbulent party politics disrupt meritâbased systems, causing bureaucrats' goal displacement and conflicting compliance under multiple accountability mechanisms. Using vignette experiment design, 555 Taiwanese public employees were surveyed to explore how legal, administrative, and social accountabilities influence the perception of black, gray, and white corruption. While respondents accurately identified corruption severity, accountability reminders diminish ethical judgments and are ineffective in explaining whistleâblowing intention. The study revealed that organizational positions interact differently with accountability reminders in a Weberian bureaucracy. Findings highlight the need to cultivate ethical judgment to shift from external controls to trigger greater perceived accountability to combat corruption. This study sheds light on both felt accountability and corruption theories to reflect existing antiâcorruption strategies.
Policy and Politics
Not yet partisan: Cultural Theory explains attitudes about solar radiation management in the US
This article investigates the role of cultural theory (CT) in explaining attitudes towards solar radiation management (SRM) in the US. Partisanship traditionally provides a clear lens through which to view favourability to climate change policies; however, the lack of partisan attention to geoengineering policies, such as SRM, suggests other belief systems may be better explainers of attitudes. Previously, scholars have found climate attitudes to vary based upon cultural types, which are a function of how individuals see the role of authority in policy making and the extent to which individuals see themselves as part of a social unit. We find that partisanship is a weak predictor of SRM attitudes, while cultural affinities provide strong influences over SRM attitudes. Specifically, we find strong group affinities (particularly egalitarians) to lead to more favourable impressions of SRM research and deployment in the case of climate emergencies. Attitudes towards hierarchy, specifically cultural affinities that disfavour hierarchy, explain SRM scepticism. We contrast these results with a separate analysis of more widely known mitigation policies: carbon taxes, regulations on carbon emissions, taxes on higher income earners for green investment, and carbon cap and trade. For these better-known policy positions, partisanship is far more important. Our work contributes to the application of CT to policy attitudes as well as to explaining the shifting landscape of attitudes towards geoengineering and a variety of climate mitigation policies.
Governance
When the Regulatory State Meets Populism: Regulatory Agencies in Mexico
Mauricio I. DussaugeâLaguna, Martin Lodge, Daniel DazaâVĂĄzquez
This essay investigates the evolving relationship between Trumpism and the United States regulatory state, focusing on how Donald Trump has reshaped American administrative governance to one of personalist consolidation. Drawing on scholarship of the administrative presidency, I argue that Trumpism represents a strategic fusion of structural deregulation in sectors like environmental protection, energy, and finance with robust state intervention in domains tied to a rightâwing populist definition of national sovereignty. Trumpism reflects a personalist style of governance rooted in the exploitation of institutional tools of the administrative presidency that have developed across both Democratic and Republican administrations over the past century. By situating Trump within the broader institutional evolution of executive power, I highlight how his manipulation of the regulatory state entrenches executive dominance and preserves an illiberal reform in governance through electoral legitimation paired with the erosion of liberalâdemocratic accountability standards in administration.
Competition Law and Varieties of Capitalism in the Long Run: The Evolution of Institutional Complementarity, 1890â2010
Competition law has played a central role in shaping different models of industrial capitalism. Drawing on new competition law indicators spanning 1890â2010, this article examines how competition law has evolved alongside capitalist systems and identifies enduring institutional complementarities between legal regimes and political economies. While competition law has become more stringent in most jurisdictions, the evolution of formal rules and enforcement practices varies systematically across capitalist models. Liberal market economies (LMEs) enforce cartel rules more strictly and are more tolerant of monopoly. Coordinated market economies (CMEs), by contrast, are more permissive of interfirm cooperation and impose stricter constraints on dominant firms. These differences are associated with measures of corporatism, suggesting institutional complementarity between competition regimes and producer group coordination. Overall, the findings show that competition law operates not only as a liberalizing instrument, but also as a key institutional site through which capitalist diversity is reinforced amid longâterm institutional change.
Regulation & Governance
Why Do Eastern African Countries Comply With OECD Tax Norms? How Network Effects Shape Policy Transfer in AntiâProfit Shifting Governance
Widespread investments in OECDâstyle transferâpricing audits across SubâSaharan Africa stand in contrast to critiques that question the effectiveness and legitimacy of the OECD transfer pricing guidelines. Our process tracing design aims to explain why SubâSaharan countries comply with OECD transferâpricing guidelines by tracing why some African countries implement transferâpricing audits while others do not. By comparing Kenya's, Uganda's, and Rwanda's compliance with Ethiopia's mock compliance, it reveals conditions supporting the implementation of suboptimal global standards. Drawing on historical institutionalist theory, we show that network effects create a compatibility advantage, enabling governments to increase revenue without undermining competitiveness. However, Ethiopia's approach is performative, and our findings emphasize two key conditions for compliance: the socialization of tax administrations into the transnational tax governance network influencing their policy feedback, and the presence and relative power of the financial service industry providing transferâpricing advice.